as Standard and
Poor’s and Moody’s. They rate the safety or soundness of securities,
including those
securitized mortgage products. A credit opinion is defined as one
which rates the
timeliness and ultimate repayment of principal and interest. But, like
everyone else, the
rating agencies say they didn’t foresee a decline in housing prices;
and consequently,
they rated the mortgage securities as being AAA—the highest
rating possible,
which meant that the rating agencies considered these securities to be
highly safe. The
agencies are the subject of much criticism for their role in the crisis.
If they had done a
better job analyzing the risk (their responsibility), much of the
crisis might have
been avoided. But note that these rating agencies are hired and paid
by the companies
whose products they rate, thus causing a conflict of interest that
many believe biased
their ratings in a positive direction. So, people who thought they
were making
responsible investments because they checked the ratings were misled.
Another protection
that failed was the network of risk managers and boards of
directors of the
financial community. How is it that one 400-person business that was
part of the formerly
successful insurance behemoth, AIG, could invest in such a way
that it brought the
world’s largest insurance company to its knees? The risk was
underestimated all
around by those professionals charged with anticipating such
problems and by the
board of directors that didn’t see the problem coming. The U.S.
government (actually
taxpayers) ended up bailing out AIG to the tune of $170 billion.
The risk managers and
boards of other financial firms such as Citigroup, Merrill
Lynch, Lehman
Brothers, Bear Stearns, and Wachovia were similarly blind.
On Wall Street, there
were other contributing factors. First, bank CEOs and other
executives were paid
huge salaries to keep the price of their firms’ stocks at high
levels. If their
institutions lost money, their personal payouts would shrink. So, bank
executives were paid
handsomely to bolster short-term profits. The Wall Street traders were similarly compensated—they were
paid multimillion-dollar bonuses for
taking outsized risks
in the market. What seemed to matter most were the short-term
profits of the firm
and the short-term compensation of those making risky decisions.
The traders took
risks, the bets were at least temporarily successful, and the bankers
walked off with
multimillion-dollar bonuses. It didn’t matter that the risk taking was
foolish and
completely irresponsible in the long run. The bonus had already been
paid. Consequently, a
short-term mentality took firm root among the nation’s bankers,
CEOs, and boards of
directors.
Finally, we can’t
examine the financial crisis without questioning the role of
regulatory agencies
and legislators. For example, for a decade, investor Harry
Markopolos tried on
numerous occasions to spur the Securities and Exchange
Commission to
investigate Bernard L. Madoff. The SEC never did uncover the
largest Ponzi scheme
in the history of finance. The $65-billion-dollar swindle
unraveled only when
Madoff admitted the fraud to his sons, who alerted the SEC
and the U.S. attorney’s office in New York in December 2008. Others who are
culpable in the
financial crisis are members of the U.S. Congress, who deregulated
the financial
industry, the source of some of their largest campaign contributions.
Among other things,
they repealed the Glass-Steagall Act, which had been
passed after the U.S. stock
market crash in 1929 to protect commercial banking
customers from the
aggression and extreme risk taking of investment bank
cultures. The act
created separate institutions for commercial and investment
banks, and they
stayed separate until the merger of Citicorp and Travelers to
form Citigroup in
1998. The two companies petitioned Congress to eliminate
Glass-Steagall,
claiming that it was an old, restrictive law and that today’s markets
were too modern and
sophisticated to need such protection. And Congress
listened. Those 1930s
congressmen knew that if two banking cultures tried to
exist in the same
company—the staid, conservative culture of commercial banking
(our savings and
checking accounts) and the razzle-dazzle, high-risk culture
of investment
banking—the ‘‘eat what you kill’’ investment bank culture would
win out. Some said
that staid old commercial banks turned into ‘‘casinos.’’ But,
interestingly,
casinos are highly regulated and are required to keep funds on hand
to pay winners. In
the coming months, we expect to learn more about the behavior
that led to this
crisis. As we noted earlier, much if not most of it was probably
legal because of the
lack of regulation in the mortgage and investment banking
industries. But look
at the outcome! If only ethical antennae had been more sensitive,
more people might
have questioned products they didn’t understand, or spoken
out or refused to
participate in practices that were clearly questionable. As
just one tiny
example, could anyone have thought it was ethical to sell a product
they called a liar
loan, knowing that the customer surely would be unable to repay
(even if it was legal
to do so)?
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